vmaitComputational Mathematics and Information TechnologiesComputational Mathematics and Information Technologies2587-8999Донской государственный технический университет10.23947/2587-8999-2021-1-2-72-77vmait-34Research ArticleСтатьиМОДЕЛИРОВАНИЕ НЕСИММЕТРИЧНОГО ИНФОРМАЦИОННОГО ПРОТИВОБОРСТВА ПРИ НАЛИЧИИ АЖИОТАЖАMODELING ASYMMETRIC INFORMATION WARFARE IN THE PRESENCE OF HYPEПодлипскаяО. Г.PodlipskaiaO. G.

Ольга Геннадьевна Подлипская, Кафедра высшей математики, доцент

141701, Московская облаcть, г. Долгопрудный, Институтский пер., 9

Olga Podlipskaia, Department of Higher Mathematics, Associate Professor

9 Institutskiy per., Dolgoprudny, Moscow Region, 141701

proncheva@phystech.eduМосковский физико-технический институт (национальный исследовательский университет)РоссияMoscow Institute of Physics and TechnologyRussian Federation202121022023527277Copyright © Подлипская О.Г., 20232023Подлипская О.Г.Podlipskaia O.G.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://www.cmit-journal.ru/jour/article/view/34

Одна из типовых ситуаций при информационном противоборстве состоит в том, что одна из партий обладает преимуществом в ресурсе вещания, а другая партия распространяет более вирусные сообщения. Возникает вопрос о том, в какой мере эти факторы могут уравновешивать друг друга. Другими словами, насколько большим должно быть преимуществ одной из сторон в своем факторе, чтобы одержать победу в информационном противоборстве. Метод. Рассматривается модель информационного противоборства в социуме при наличии ажиотажа. Предполагается, что две партии вербуют сторонников, распространяя сообщения через аффилированные средства массовой информации. Их сторонники участвуют в партиципаторной пропаганде, распространяя эти сообщения среди других индивидов. Модель имеет вид системы двух нелинейных обыкновенных дифференциальных уравнений. С моделью проведены численные эксперименты. В рамках экспериментов фиксировались все параметры, кроме интенсивности вещания одной партии и интенсивности передачи сообщений другой партии при межличностной коммуникации. Значения первого из этих параметров перебирались с определенным шагом, и путем численных экспериментов. Один из этих параметров варьировался, и путем численного эксперимента определялось значение второго параметра, при котором партии имеют равное количество сторонников на конец противоборства. Получено соотношение между указанными параметрами, при котором побеждает данная партия. Это соотношение носит линейный характер. 

One of the typical situations in information confrontation is that one of the parties has an advantage in the broadcasting resource, while the other party spreads more viral messages. The question arises as to the extent to which these factors can balance each other. In other words, how large should be the advantages of one of the parties in its factor in order to win the information war. The model of information confrontation in society in the presence of excitement is considered. Supporters are believed to be recruited by the two parties by spreading messages through affiliated media. Their supporters participate in participatory propaganda, spreading these messages to other individuals. The model has the form of a system of two nonlinear ordinary differential equations. Numerical experiments have been carried out with the model. Within the framework of the experiments, all parameters were recorded, except for the broadcasting intensity of one party and the intensity of the transmission of messages by the other party during interpersonal communication. The values of the first of these parameters were taken with a certain step, and through numerical experiments. One of these parameters was varied, and the value of the second parameter was determined by a numerical experiment, at which the parties have an equal number of supporters at the end of the confrontation. The ratio between the specified parameters is obtained, at which the given party wins. This relationship is linear.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.